Horse and TaxesTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-1-1
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
80.8%
avg ELO +14.8 per match
expected value
58.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
61.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1267
· median 1267
· range 1267–1267
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1265
Q3 1411
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.0% | +21.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
